Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.691242 0.883278 1.098990 1.356488 1.652750 1.980312 2.367201
2025-08-17 0.402730 0.633247 0.926807 1.315333 1.803480 2.384637 3.116730
2025-08-24 0.264126 0.511496 0.866012 1.378461 2.068644 2.936578 4.080495
2025-08-31 0.161602 0.397141 0.780000 1.382960 2.247925 3.388171 4.948201
2025-09-07 0.110715 0.341524 0.760991 1.469331 2.535816 3.991234 6.036052
2025-09-14 0.072365 0.288270 0.729017 1.525020 2.777743 4.540430 7.074274
2025-09-21 0.044076 0.237541 0.685340 1.550203 2.969841 5.024488 8.039505
2025-09-28 0.022890 0.184689 0.619625 1.523612 3.073977 5.382535 8.839769
2025-10-05 0.012542 0.153976 0.589519 1.552056 3.261650 5.864098 9.822296
2025-10-12 0.005940 0.125697 0.554312 1.562952 3.417102 6.299915 10.749052
2025-10-19 0.001786 0.093988 0.496075 1.516798 3.469080 6.577475 11.452861
2025-10-26 0.000312 0.070318 0.448003 1.481184 3.532391 6.870153 12.181987
2025-11-02 0.000018 0.055646 0.421780 1.490620 3.679603 7.305225 13.142903
2025-11-09 NaN 0.038975 0.375871 1.445710 3.722746 7.575972 13.867145
2025-11-16 NaN 0.034069 0.376297 1.512536 3.978839 8.197341 15.132492
2025-11-23 NaN 0.025861 0.353779 1.517071 4.114631 8.625844 16.114428
2025-11-30 NaN 0.023913 0.364011 1.608932 4.425283 9.350466 17.562058
2025-12-07 NaN 0.020482 0.362414 1.668118 4.673424 9.976955 18.869859
2025-12-14 NaN 0.016164 0.350007 1.694865 4.856942 10.499181 20.025456
2025-12-21 NaN 0.010839 0.320573 1.666566 4.925170 10.827111 20.884170
2025-12-28 NaN 0.008370 0.311371 1.696807 5.115308 11.366393 22.081014
2026-01-04 NaN 0.005995 0.297147 1.708387 5.265427 11.838966 23.178947
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003276 0.266390 1.659302 5.281162 12.077162 23.908970